Tín hiệu biến động thị trường hiếm gặp cho thấy giá Bitcoin sẽ tăng trong 6 đến 12 tháng tới
Các nhà phân tích có quan điểm khác nhau về cách biến động chưa từng có trong thị trường chứng khoán Mỹ có thể ảnh hưởng đến quỹ đạo giá dài hạn của Bitcoin.
["V\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 7 th\u00e1ng 4, Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng CBOE (VIX) \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt l\u00ean m\u1ee9c hi\u1ebfm g\u1eb7p l\u00e0 60, cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 s\u1ee3 h\u00e3i v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn c\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed9 tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. Theo Dan Tapiero, CEO c\u1ee7a 10Tfund, VIX \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c 60 ch\u1ec9 x\u1ea3y ra n\u0103m l\u1ea7n trong 35 n\u0103m qua, v\u00e0 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u l\u1ecbch s\u1eed cho th\u1ea5y kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i cho c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n r\u1ee7i ro nh\u01b0 Bitcoin (BTC) trong v\u00f2ng 6 \u0111\u1ebfn 12 th\u00e1ng.<\/p>"," VIX, th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 'th\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111o s\u1ee3 h\u00e3i,' \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch quy\u1ec1n ch\u1ecdn S&P 500. Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh c\u1ef1c \u0111oan, t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 nh\u01b0 nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 2008 v\u00e0 2020, th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00e1nh d\u1ea5u \u0111\u00e1y th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, n\u01a1i vi\u1ec7c b\u00e1n th\u00e1o ho\u1ea3ng lo\u1ea1n t\u1ea1o c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i cho c\u00e1c l\u1ed1i v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng quan tr\u1ecdng.<\/p>"," Tapiero g\u1ee3i \u00fd r\u1eb1ng s\u1ef1 t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y c\u1ee7a VIX theo m\u1ed9t m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1, v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng lo ng\u1ea1i t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c '\u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1,' m\u1edf \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cho tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng t\u00edch c\u1ef1c. \u00d4ng n\u00f3i r\u1eb1ng 'c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 m\u1ed9t t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n.'<\/p>"," Julien Bittel, ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ea7u nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u v\u0129 m\u00f4 t\u1ea1i Global Macro Investor (GMI), c\u0169ng \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 quan \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a Tapiero, l\u01b0u \u00fd r\u1eb1ng c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang \u1edf m\u1ee9c b\u00e1n qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 COVID-19, v\u1edbi h\u01a1n 55% c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu Nasdaq 100 c\u00f3 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 RSI 14 ng\u00e0y d\u01b0\u1edbi 30. \u0110i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00e0y ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ea5y trong c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng l\u1edbn nh\u01b0 s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a Lehman Brothers n\u0103m 2008 v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch COVID-19 n\u0103m 2020.<\/p>"," Sau khi VIX \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c 60 v\u00e0o tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc, Bittel gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u1ec9nh \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a s\u1ef1 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn n\u00e0y g\u00e2y ra s\u1ef1 s\u1ee3 h\u00e3i cho nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0. \u00d4ng \u0111\u00e3 tr\u00edch d\u1eabn Kh\u1ea3o s\u00e1t T\u00ecnh b\u00e1o Nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 Hoa K\u1ef3, hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 23,6% t\u00ecnh c\u1ea3m l\u1ea1c quan, m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 12 n\u0103m 2008.<\/p>"," Kh\u1ea3o s\u00e1t c\u1ee7a Hi\u1ec7p h\u1ed9i Nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 C\u00e1 nh\u00e2n M\u1ef9 (AAII) c\u0169ng ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 s\u1ee3 h\u00e3i cao, v\u1edbi 62% ng\u01b0\u1eddi tham gia kh\u1ea3o s\u00e1t b\u00e0y t\u1ecf t\u00ecnh c\u1ea3m bi quan, m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 3 n\u0103m 2009. Bittel nh\u1eadn x\u00e9t, 'N\u00f3i c\u00e1ch kh\u00e1c, ch\u00fang ta \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 s\u1ee3 h\u00e3i t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00e1nh d\u1ea5u \u0111\u00e1y c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu sau cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.'<\/p>"," S\u1ef1 s\u1ee3 h\u00e3i lan r\u1ed9ng n\u00e0y, k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt hi\u1ebfm hoi c\u1ee7a VIX, t\u1ea1o \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n cho c\u00e1c l\u1ed1i v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0o c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n nh\u01b0 Bitcoin, v\u00ec thanh kho\u1ea3n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng s\u1ebd quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n r\u1ee7i ro.<\/p>"," Trong khi c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4 nh\u00ecn th\u1ea5y ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng cho m\u1ed9t k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 cho c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n r\u1ee7i ro, nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng Tony Severino \u0111\u01b0a ra m\u1ed9t quan \u0111i\u1ec3m kh\u00e1c, cho r\u1eb1ng t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Bitcoin\/VIX c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1. Trong m\u1ed9t b\u00e0i \u0111\u0103ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, Severino d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n r\u1eb1ng Bitcoin c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ec9nh trong chu k\u1ef3 n\u00e0y nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u1ec3 l\u1ea1i ch\u1ed7 cho s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i quan \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 4.<\/p>"," Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 c\u1ee7a Severino n\u00eau b\u1eadt t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u b\u00e1n v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 1, s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng l\u00fd thuy\u1ebft S\u00f3ng Elliott \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i. \u00d4ng c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng c\u00f2n qu\u00e1 s\u1edbm \u0111\u1ec3 k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t b\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u1eb7t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 cho Bitcoin d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean s\u1ef1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 v\u1edbi VIX.<\/p>"," B\u00e0i vi\u1ebft n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ee9a l\u1eddi khuy\u00ean \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 hay khuy\u1ebfn ngh\u1ecb. M\u1ecdi quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u1ec1u li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn r\u1ee7i ro, v\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u1ecdc n\u00ean t\u1ef1 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u khi \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>"]
Theo Cointelegraph
Nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o v\u1ec1 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 trong Bitcoin VIX<\/h2>","
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