Xác suất cắt giảm lãi suất của Mỹ vào tháng 12 tăng lên 74,5%: FedWatch
Thị trường dự đoán Cục Dự trữ Liên bang sẽ giảm lãi suất 25 điểm cơ bản trong tháng này, đánh dấu lần cắt giảm lãi suất thứ ba trong năm.
["C\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 CME FedWatch, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang, \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 12 l\u00ean 74,5%, v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua c\u00e1c \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>","
V\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 2 th\u00e1ng 12, c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 theo d\u00f5i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng 8,5 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m t\u1eeb 66% v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 29 th\u00e1ng 11, ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t 0,25% xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u1eeb 4,25% \u0111\u1ebfn 4,5% trong cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 17 v\u00e0 18 th\u00e1ng 12.<\/p>","
Hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng M\u1ef9 duy tr\u00ec l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong kho\u1ea3ng m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u1eeb 4,5% \u0111\u1ebfn 4,75%, sau hai l\u1ea7n gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong n\u0103m nay t\u1ed5ng c\u1ed9ng 0,75%, \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong h\u01a1n hai th\u1eadp k\u1ef7.<\/p>"," Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng l\u1ea1c quan r\u1eb1ng Fed s\u1ebd th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t nh\u1ecf v\u00e0o cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp th\u00e1ng 12. Ngu\u1ed3n: CME FedWatch<\/em><\/p><\/figcaption><\/figure>"," L\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u1ea5p th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 t\u00edch c\u1ef1c cho Bitcoin (BTC) v\u00ec ch\u00fang gi\u1ea3m chi ph\u00ed vay m\u01b0\u1ee3n, l\u1ecbch s\u1eed \u0111\u00e3 khuy\u1ebfn kh\u00edch \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n r\u1ee7i ro h\u01a1n nh\u01b0 ti\u1ec1n \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed.<\/p>"," C\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 CME FedWatch t\u00ednh to\u00e1n kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng thay \u0111\u1ed5i l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng d\u1eef li\u1ec7u gi\u00e1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai 30 ng\u00e0y li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Fed.<\/p>"," S\u1ef1 gia t\u0103ng k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t theo sau nh\u1eefng b\u00ecnh lu\u1eadn t\u1eeb Th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ed1c C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang Christopher Waller trong m\u1ed9t b\u00e0i ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 2 th\u00e1ng 12 t\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t h\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 \u1edf Washington, DC, n\u01a1i \u00f4ng b\u00e0y t\u1ecf s\u1ef1 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m, n\u00f3i r\u1eb1ng, \u201chi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, t\u00f4i nghi\u00eang v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m.\u201d<\/p>"," Tuy nhi\u00ean, Waller l\u01b0u \u00fd r\u1eb1ng quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng s\u1ebd b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1edfi d\u1eef li\u1ec7u s\u1eafp t\u1edbi v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m, chi ti\u00eau ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng v\u00e0 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t tr\u01b0\u1edbc cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang.<\/p>"," Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang New York John Williams, ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u tr\u01b0\u1edbc Ph\u00f2ng Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i Queens \u1edf New York v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 2 th\u00e1ng 12, c\u0169ng cho bi\u1ebft k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m \u201ctheo th\u1eddi gian\u201d nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn s\u1ef1 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 cho m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c t\u1ea1i cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp s\u1eafp t\u1edbi.<\/p>"," Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang Jerome Powell, ng\u01b0\u1eddi tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1eadp r\u1eb1ng kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea7n v\u1ed9i v\u00e0ng h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn v\u1ec1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t di\u1ec5n \u0111\u00e0n c\u00f4ng khai \u1edf New York v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 4 th\u00e1ng 12.<\/p>"," Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh n\u00e0y, gi\u00e1 Bitcoin \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng h\u01a1n g\u1ea5p \u0111\u00f4i trong n\u0103m nay, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y b\u1edfi s\u1ef1 l\u1ea1c quan m\u1edbi c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u1edf M\u1ef9, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 sau cu\u1ed9c b\u1ea7u c\u1eed c\u1ee7a Donald Trump v\u00e0 l\u1eddi h\u1ee9a c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch quy \u0111\u1ecbnh ti\u1ec1n \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed.<\/p>"," Trong 24 gi\u1edd qua, Bitcoin \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eb9 kho\u1ea3ng 2%, giao d\u1ecbch \u1edf m\u1ee9c kho\u1ea3ng 95.800 USD, m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 nhi\u1ec1u nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n n\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t 100.000 USD v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m.<\/p>"]
Theo Cointelegraph
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